Who Will Win 'The Traitors' Season 3? A Power Ranking After Episode 4

After yesterday's episode of The Traitors Season 3, we're down six players. After the first three episodes last weeks and now Episode 4, the cast of 23 has been winnowed down to 17. The remaining Traitors and Faithfuls have many more murders and banishments ahead of them as they hope to survive to the end and claim the $250,000. And even though we've got seven episodes to go before a winner is crowned, we are taking upon ourselves the impossible task of predicting a champion. Because why not?

🤩 📺 SIGN UP for Parade's Daily newsletter & get the scoop on the latest TV news & celebrity interviews delivered right to your inbox 🤩🎥

While we don't know anything more about the outcome than you do, there's nothing more fun that a little guesswork. To that end, I've compiled a power ranking of the remaining 17 players ranked from least likely to most likely to take home the money. Obviously, there are a lot of moving parts in this game, so trying to determine who will win might be a bit of a fool's errand, but looking at the cast there are definitely some players who stand a much better chance than others.

After last week's premiere, I ranked Jeremy Collins as the most likely to win (womp womp), but my take on Bob the Drag Queen (who I slotted at 15th of 19) aged a bit better.

You can read last week's full ranking here. 

To determine this week's ranking, I looked at five major criteria for the players.

For the remaining Traitor, the questions are:

• Will they be able to survive the Round Tables without being banished and make it to the end game?

• If they make it to the Fire of Truth, will they be able to convince the remaining players that they are a Faithful?

For the Faithful, the questions are:

• Will the Traitors want to murder them?

• Will they be eliminated at an upcoming Round Table for seeming suspicious?

• Will they be able to suss out the Traitors at the Fire of Truth, or will they vote to end the game with a Traitor in their midst?

Also, remember that this ranking is based on their odds of winning, not just going far.

Related: The Faithfuls Banished Their First Traitor Tonight on The Traitors

Who will win The Traitors Season 3?

17. Tom Sandoval (Faithful)

Last Week: 19th

Coming in dead last for the second week in a row is perhaps the most hated figure on reality TV these days. In addition to singlehandedly getting his entire Vanderpump Rules cast fired, he's got plenty of enemies in Scotland already. The producers love showing viewers how dumb he is, and there's no way anyone is letting him leave with the money.

16. Sam Asghari (Faithful)

Last Week: 17th

The Sheree Whitfield Memorial Award for the dumbest player on the cast has to go to Britney Spears' ex. Sam has done relatively little so far and seems like a sitting duck for the Traitors to kill. On that note, please indulge me in some speculation.

This week the Traitors have seven Faithfuls without Shields available for murder. Presuming that Boston Rob will protect Derrick because he doesn't want one of the late entries to be clipped after Bob the Drag Queen's comments and that Nikki and Ciara will be safe because they're potential shields, that leaves Sam, Ivar, Robyn and Gabby as options for murder this week. Since those odds are high, I slated all four of them towards the bottom of the ranking this week.

15. Lord Ivar Mountbatten (Faithful)

Last Week: 16th

Like Sam, Lord Ivar could be a plum target for the Traitors to kill in Episode 5. Even if he survives though, he's got sneaky vibes, and I think it's only a matter of time before he gets banished.

14. Gabby Windey (Faithful)

Last Week: 7th

I fear for my girl Gabby. While I love her and her Bambi alliance, she seems like a prime target for the Traitors as one of the few available Faithfuls to murder who seems at all savvy. If she can survive this upcoming murder, she'll jump back up this list, but that's a big if.

13. Danielle Reyes (Traitor)

Last Week: 18th

It pains me to put a Big Brother legend so far down this list. But like Dan Gheesling last season, Danielle really overestimates her ability to snow castmates. Her fake tears and bizarre antics already have people suspicious, and she can't play it cool enough to dodge allegations. She got lucky this week that Boston Rob opted to target Bob the Drag Queen, and Rob's massive personality may give her some time to fade into the background. As the numbers dwindle, however, she's getting booted.

12. Robyn Dixon (Faithful)

Last Week: 13th

Robyn seems like another suitable option for the Traitors to murder in Episode 5. She's also had nothing but HORRIBLE reads this entire season, so if she makes it to the end, she's definitely giving the money to a Traitor.

11. Boston Rob Mariano (Traitor)

Last Week: 9th

Boston Rob has helmed two Round Tables in a row, convincing the cast to send home both Tony Vlachos and Bob the Drag Queen. While everyone is singing his praises now, there are already some throwing suspicion on the Survivor legend. Plus both of his fellow Traitors seemed to have soured on his antics. While Rob could win, this season, I think he'll be taken out before too long.

10. Dylan Efron (Faithful)

Last Week: 14th

With a Shield AND the Bob the Drag Queen banishment in his back pocket, Dylan seems safe for at least a few weeks. That said, he's standing out far too much, and it seems likely that, at some point, he'll be sent packing by mob mentality.

Related: Two Season 2 Contestants Will Return for 'The Traitors' Season 3

9. Nikki Garcia (Faithful)

Last Week: 3rd

While Nikki took some heat in this episode, I think that will die down now that there are bigger fish to fry. As a part of the Bambi alliance, she's got some allies helping her, and I think she'll skate by a bit longer and possibly cruise to a win.

8. Ciara Miller (Faithful)

Last Week: 5th

Ciara is sitting in basically the same slot as Nikki, but I think her gameplay is just a bit more cutting, which could be helpful in the ruthless endgame.

7. Dolores Catania (Faithful)

Last Week: 12th

In addition to being a fan of Zac Efron's acting, the RHONJ housewife is besties with Dylan. Their friendship is turning into one of the show's more endearing plotlines and I just think there's zero chance that she gets banished. While the Traitors could murder her, she's got a Shield this week so she seems safe for a bit.

6. Carolyn Wiger (Traitor)

Last Week: 8th

Of the current set of Traitors, I think Carolyn stands the best chance at winning, even if her chances are low. She's the most surprising of Alan Cumming's choices and seems the least likely of the four to have been selected. Her kookiness will also cover a multitude of erratic behaviors, so I think she could manage to get to the end with the cast underestimating her.

5. Wes Bergmann (Faithful)

Last Week: 10th

This week was a good one for Wes and Derrick. When Bob the Drag Queen pointed out that one of the late entry players is likely a Traitor, that seemingly put a target on them both. However, because of that fact, it seems unlikely Boston Rob will murder either of them, thus giving the Faithfuls a 50/50 chance of identifying the Traitor in the trio. Moreover, if Boston Rob is banished (which seems a likely possibility), then both Wes and Derrick will have a very strong case as to why they are Faithfuls.

4. Derrick Levasseur (Faithful)

Last Week: 11th

Ditto to what I said about Wes.

3. Bob Harper (Faithful)

Last Week: 4th

Easily my favorite player this season so far is the former Biggest Loser trainer. Watching Bob Harper bully Tony Vlachos into volunteering to go first in the funhouse mission was perhaps my favorite moment from the first three episodes. While he's collected a few stray votes, I think the real Traitors will soon take the heat off him, and he seems savvy enough to win should he get to the end. My only worry is that he may get murdered before that, but he's got a Shield this week at least.

Related: Peacock Makes Big Announcement About 'The Traitors'

2. Britney Haynes (Faithful)

Last Week: 6th

Britney also seems unlikely to be banished in the near future. And lucky for her, I doubt the Traitors will murder her as long as Danielle is in the turret. However, that protection may come to an end sooner rather than later. I could see her in the Sandra Diaz-Twine spot from Season 2, though, as the last true strategic player left in the mix.

1. Chrishell Stause (Faithful)

Last Week: 2nd

With Jeremy gone, Chrishell has moved into my top spot. She seems unlikely to be banished, she's in a strong alliance with Gabby and Nikki (both of whom seem like bigger threats) AND she is smart. She managed to nab a Shield this week so pencil her in for Episode 7.

Related: Everything to Know About 'The Traitors' Season 3 (Including the Elimination Order)