Harris vs. Trump: Expert panel make their predictions for the US election

Lauren MacDougall

16 October 2024 at 11:04 am·1-min read

Where will the election be won or lost? Who are the key voters Kamala Harris and Donald Trump want to woo? And how might the Israel-Palestine conflict influence American voters?

These and more questions from our audience were answered in The Independent’s virtual event on the US election.

Hosted by executive editor Holly Baxter, the panel features Washington experts Eric Garcia and Andrew Feinberg, alongside The Independent’s chief international correspondent Bel Trew, who shared their predictions for November 5.

If you enjoy our virtual events, please consider supporting The Independent with a donation or by subscribing to Independent Premium.

The Independent
I followed Harris and Trump round North Carolina. It’s clear to me who’s going to win
Eric Garcia reports from a state Trump won twice — but is now panicking about
The Daily Beast
Trump Ends Campaign by Calling Female Leader the ‘B-Word’
Donald Trump ended his 2024 campaign rallies with a bang early on Tuesday morning in Grand Rapids, Michigan, describing his not-so-subtle feelings about former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. The former president was speaking after a consecutive day of rallies on Monday; his appearance in Michigan—he spoke after midnight—was his last stop before voters take to the ballot box. “She‘s a crooked person, she‘s a bad person. Evil! she’s an evil, sick, crazy...” the former president said, then breathed th
The Independent
Voices: Who does Putin actually want to win the election? As a Russian American, I know the answer
The Kremlin has reportedly developed two alternative plans for resolving the military conflict with Ukraine — one in the event that Trump wins and another for if Harris becomes president
HuffPost
MSNBC’s ‘Morning Joe’ Dumbfounded By Donald Trump Closing Message Montage
“I don't know that I've ever seen as much contrast in a closing message," said Joe Scarborough.
The Independent
Monica Lewinsky reveals who she is voting for in the presidential election
The former White House intern urged her followers to get out and vote as America goes to the polls
CNN
Trump says he ‘shouldn’t have left’ the White House as he closes campaign with increasingly dark message
Donald Trump, who said in Pennsylvania on Sunday that he regrets leaving the White House in 2021, is ending the 2024 campaign the way he began it – dishing out a stew of violent, disparaging rhetoric and repeated warnings that he will not accept defeat if it comes.
The Daily Beast
Trump Plummets in Election Betting Odds After Shock Poll Shows Him Losing Iowa to Harris
Election prediction markets tilted heavily towards Vice President Kamala Harris overnight after a bombshell poll released Saturday showed her ahead of former President Donald Trump in Iowa. A Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll found the Democratic nominee three points up on her GOP opponent, 47% to 44%, among likely voters. The survey was conducted by the highly regarded pollster Ann Selzer, who has a long track record of producing results that uncannily mirror final election tallies.
The Daily Beast
Herschel Walker Makes Trump Jr. Gaffe During Surprise Rally Speech
Herschel Walker, the retired NFL running back and failed GOP Senate candidate, stumbled over his words in his first political appearance of the 2024 election cycle, asking voters to cast their ballots for Donald Trump Jr. before quickly realizing his error and urging voters to vote for Trump Jr.’s father instead. “Let us not let Donald Trump down, because he’s not going to let us down,” Walker implored supporters in in Macon, Georgia–his home state–in a brief speech that lasted just under six mi
Rolling Stone
Trump Boasts ‘Every Rally Is Full’ as Camera Immediately Pans to Empty Seats, People Leaving
The former president falsely claimed his rallies "do not have any seats that are empty"
The Independent
Azealia Banks makes dramatic endorsement switch as she lashes out at ‘dirtbag’ Elon Musk
Controversial rapper warned her followers about the importance of ‘keeping Musk away from any type of political power’ in the US
The Hill
Trump says he could lose: ‘Bad things could happen’
Former President Trump told ABC News on Sunday that he could imagine losing the presidential election to Vice President Harris. ABC News chief Washington correspondent Jonathan Karl talked to the former president by phone Sunday morning and asked whether he thinks there’s any way he could lose the election. “Yeah, I guess, you know,” Trump…
HuffPost
'He Can't Last': Nancy Pelosi Has Dire Prediction For Trump's 'Deteriorating' Brain
The former House speaker delivered a stark warning over what could happen if Trump is elected.
The Daily Beast
‘Come on, Senator’: Dana Bash Loses Cool Over Tim Scott’s Election Claims
Dana Bash ran out of patience while pressing Republican Sen. Tim Scott about Donald Trump and his pals' recent hints that this election may already be subject to voter fraud. The CNN host demanded to know whether Trump would honor the results of the election in the event of defeat, but the South Carolina senator neatly sidestepped the repeated questioning. “One of Donald Trump‘s allies, Steve Bannon, who was released from prison this week, told the New York Times that Trump should simply declare
The Daily Beast
Rihanna Breaks Silence on Election: Protect Our ‘P***ies’
Rihanna really wishes she could “protect p---ies and fire p---ies” with her vote in this election, in a new video posted to Instagram. The “Diamonds” singer looks out the window from the back of a moving car while wearing a pair of black shades as she jokes in the caption, “me trying to sneak into the polls with my son’s passport” with the hashtag #votecauseicant. Rihanna has made her feelings about Donald Trump known since he emerged as a political figure, including her support for Democrats.
The Independent
Trump appears to emulate ‘sex act’ on microphone after he melts down over technical difficulties
Viewers were stunned at the former president’s apparent gesture during his Milwaukee rally in Wisconsin
HuffPost
New York Times Delivers Damning, 1-Paragraph Takedown On Donald Trump's Possible Return
The newspaper condensed its case against the former president into 110 withering words.
The Daily Beast
Pete Buttigieg Systematically Schools 25 Undecided Voters
Pete Buttigieg sat in the center of a circle of 25 undecided Michigan voters in a new video released the day before the 2024 election, as each of them brought their views—some well-informed and others fueled by internet misinformation—and asked him to change their minds. “I know that I’m simultaneously speaking to some people who come at this from a more conservative perspective and are deciding whether to go for Trump even though they’re not sure, others who are coming from a more left of cente
The Hill
Brit Hume on Trump comeback: ‘The Reagan Republican Party is gone’
Fox News chief political analyst Brit Hume said Monday that the Republican Party with former President Trump as “the prominent figure in the party” is no longer “the Reagan Republican Party.” “I mean, the Republican Party we knew, the Reagan Republican Party, is gone,” Hume told “America’s Newsroom” anchors Dana Perino and Bill Hemmer, in…
The Daily Beast
Roger Stone Rips ‘Amateur’ Laura Loomer in Late-Night MAGA Meltdown
MAGA World fixture Roger Stone excoriated former president Donald Trump‘s racist pal Laura Loomer on Sunday for attacking the Republican nominee’s leading surrogate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as a scammer. The right-wing scuffle kicked off when Loomer accused Kennedy—who abandoned an independent bid for president in August to endorse Trump—of using funds he said were raised to help Trump to pay off his own campaign’s debts. Stone called Loomer‘s claim “false” and claimed, in a tweet, that he was awar
The Independent
Shock as Trump says putting Harris in the ring with Mike Tyson ‘would be interesting’
It comes as Trump continues to claim that he is seeing success with female voters, despite making open, and often violent, affronts against Harris and other high profile women including Michelle Obama, Nancy Pelosi and Liz Cheney

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